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Tag: MarketPsychology
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Hallo zusammen! Friday, November 14, 2025. A day for reflection. Referring to what I wrote in yesterday’s post (which you can read here: the-lone-traders-watch-third-times-the-charm-cpi-algos-and-the-green-morning-trap-november-13-2025), yesterday was a crucial day. It was the third time this week the market violently tried to decide a direction, with average movements of 5% on each attempt. Yesterday, the market…
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Hallo zusammen! Let’s execute today’s analysis. For me, yesterday unfolded exactly as a “clear short,” for reasons I detailed in yesterday’s post. I don’t say this to claim I’m a genius or that I can predict the future—far from it. But as I explained, the market is currently struggling to find a direction. This indecision…
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Hallo zusammen! As I look at the charts this Wednesday, I don’t see a much clearer picture than yesterday. The European market is currently trying to erase yesterday’s negative moves (BTC -2.80%, ETH -4.22%, SOL -7.60%, BNB -3.68%), but it’s still early for the American open. We must remember that yesterday, too, started very positive…
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Hallo zusammen! Happy Monday, everyone. My view today is that the crypto market, especially Bitcoin (BTC), stands at a very interesting juncture. It’s a moment that demands extreme caution and close observation. The first week of November closed out in the red. However, since Friday, the price has been held up, even bouncing a little,…
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Hallo zusammen! It’s Friday, November 7, 2025, and as we head into the weekend, I’ve been reflecting on the market’s bigger picture. A couple of weeks ago (October 22, to be exact), I published a post about a potential Elliott Wave count I was seeing on the weekly chart for ETH. (You can read that…
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Hallo zusammen! Apologies for the late post today; I ran into some technical issues this morning. I won’t dwell too long on my overall market sentiment, as it hasn’t changed significantly. Yesterday, while technically a “green day” for our assets of study (BTC +2.6%, ETH +4.2%, SOL +4.2%, and BNB +2.47%), I view this merely…
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Hallo zusammen! Markets, as we know, often act in unforeseen ways. This is precisely why I clarify that I don’t attempt to predict anything; I simply articulate what I observe. There’s a premise I follow regarding price action: when the crypto market makes a furious, “rabid” move in one direction—like the recent red bars on…
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Hallo zusammen! Happy Monday. As we start a new week, I want to share a core premise that guides my view of the markets, especially in times like these. Markets often move in unexpected ways, which is why I must clarify that I’m not attempting to predict anything; I am simply observing what I see.…
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Hallo zusammen! Today, I want to talk about market psychology and a few key observations, especially after yesterday’s mixed signals from the FED. First, a brief recap of yesterday’s FOMC meeting (Oct 29): The FED cut rates by 25bp and announced an end to QT – both dovish (pro-risk) moves. However, Chairman Powell tempered the…
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Hello everyone. Today, I want to start with a more personal, somber thought. I’m looking at the monthly charts, and with a heavy heart for the crypto market, it truly feels like the bullish impulse has finally come to an end. It brings to mind a lesson from a mentor of mine. He used to…