Markets: NYSE | NASDAQ | Europe | Crypto

1. Macroeconomic Overview & Market Drivers

Today’s calendar is light on high-impact official macroeconomic reports (no NFP, CPI, or ISM expected).

Crucially, the ongoing U.S. federal government shutdown (active since October 1st) continues to prevent the release of key economic data. This lack of visibility is forcing traders to rely heavily on private sources (PMI, sector surveys) and statements from Federal Reserve members to fine-tune interest rate expectations, leading to increased speculative volatility.

2. Potential Intraday Catalysts

• Fed Speeches: Remarks from Fed members (Jefferson, Daly, or Barkin) regarding inflation or monetary policy could shift Treasury yields, consequently impacting global risk appetite.
• Regulatory/Political Headlines: News concerning the SEC or the approval of a spot ETH or BTC ETF. The shutdown could potentially delay approvals or cause volatility based on market rumors.
• Global Flows: European and Asian markets are trading mixed, leaving the U.S. open susceptible to sector rotation flows (e.g., tech vs. energy/financials).

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A Quick Note on Bitcoin’s Milestone

It’s worth acknowledging the context here: BTC recently smashed its previous All-Time High. While we’re focused on the 30-minute chart, that macro achievement suggests strong underlying demand. The current consolidation we see is often a necessary rest before the next push higher, making these short-term breakout levels all the more important.

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3. Technical Analysis – 30-Minute Charts (Candlesticks)

(Source: Binance, October 6, 2025, 1:00 PM CEST)

BTCUSDT (Binance, 30m)

• Current Price: ≈$123,850
• Intraday Range: $122,520 – $125,504
• Supports: S1 →$123,000 | S2 →$121,800 | S3 →$120,000
• Resistances: R1 →$125,500 | R2 →$126,800
• Indicators: RSI(14) ≈61 (Bullish momentum, nearing intraday overbought). MACD lines converging (potential bear cross if it loses $123,000).

Technical Interpretation: BTC is consolidating in a tight channel. A sustained close above $125,500 would validate continuation toward the $126,800–$127,200 area. A drop below $123,000 could prompt a technical correction back toward the 50 EMA area (near $121,800). Note the several long upper wicks on the 30m candles, signaling selling pressure at resistance.

ETHUSDT (Binance, 30m)

• Current Price: ≈$4,490
• Intraday Range: $4,345 – $4,561
• Supports: $4,400 / $4,250 / $4,100
• Resistances: $4,550 / $4,600
• Indicators: RSI(14) ≈58 (Neutral-to-Bullish). MACD positive, but showing a slight bearish divergence.

Technical Read: ETH retains a sideways-to-bullish bias. The $4,450–$4,550 range is a congestion zone. A large-bodied candle closing above $4,550 could free up movement toward $4,620–$4,650. In case of failure (upper wick rejection), expect likely support at $4,300.

SOLUSDT (Binance, 30m)

• Current Price: ≈$233
• Intraday Range: $222 – $236
• Supports: $225 / $220 / $210
• Resistances: $236 / $242
• Indicators: RSI(14) ≈63 (Positive momentum). MACD shows an incipient bullish cross, compatible with a short impulse move.

Technical Interpretation: SOL is defending the dynamic support zone at $225. As long as it holds above $220, the candlestick pattern (potentially three white soldiers) supports a recovery. A firm break above $236 projects targets toward $245–$250. A loss below $220 would invalidate the structure and likely lead toward $210.

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4. Daily Operational Summary

Asset	Trend (30m)	Key Breakout Zone	Likely Scenario
BTCUSDT	Sideways–Bullish	> $125,500	Bullish continuation toward $127,000 if confirmed
ETHUSDT	Sideways	> $4,550 / < $4,300	Direction pending; breakout will decide the next move
SOLUSDT	Mildly Bullish	> $236	Impulse move toward $245–$250

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Conclusion

The week begins without compelling hard macro data, giving pure technicals and news headlines more weight.

• Equities (NYSE/NASDAQ): Likely range-bound with a potential profit-taking bias; traders will be laser-focused on Fed commentary.
• Crypto Market: Maintains a constructive tone, with BTC and SOL showing the strongest short-term momentum.

General Recommendation: Trade confirmed breakouts with tight stop-losses; avoid anticipating moves in low-liquidity, highly sensitive environments.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. All content is based on an objective analysis of market data. Please conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. For a full statement, please read our disclaimer here: https://tavoplus.com/disclaimer/