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  • The Lone Trader’s Watch: The 200-Week SMA Magnet and Market Fractals (November 14, 2025)

    The Lone Trader’s Watch: The 200-Week SMA Magnet and Market Fractals (November 14, 2025)

    November 14, 2025
    Analysis, Crypto, Markets

    Hallo zusammen! Friday, November 14, 2025. A day for reflection. Referring to what I wrote in yesterday’s post (which you can read here: the-lone-traders-watch-third-times-the-charm-cpi-algos-and-the-green-morning-trap-november-13-2025), yesterday was a crucial day. It was the third time this week the market violently tried to decide a direction, with average movements of 5% on each attempt. Yesterday, the market…

  • The Lone Trader’s Watch: “Third Time’s the Charm?” CPI, Algos, and the Green Morning Trap (November 13, 2025)

    The Lone Trader’s Watch: “Third Time’s the Charm?” CPI, Algos, and the Green Morning Trap (November 13, 2025)

    November 13, 2025
    Analysis, Crypto, Markets

    Hallo zusammen! Let’s execute today’s analysis. For me, yesterday unfolded exactly as a “clear short,” for reasons I detailed in yesterday’s post. I don’t say this to claim I’m a genius or that I can predict the future—far from it. But as I explained, the market is currently struggling to find a direction. This indecision…

  • The Lone Trader’s Watch: Algorithmic Trading and the CPI Anticipation (November 12, 2025)

    The Lone Trader’s Watch: Algorithmic Trading and the CPI Anticipation (November 12, 2025)

    November 12, 2025
    Analysis, Crypto, Markets

    Hallo zusammen! As I look at the charts this Wednesday, I don’t see a much clearer picture than yesterday. The European market is currently trying to erase yesterday’s negative moves (BTC -2.80%, ETH -4.22%, SOL -7.60%, BNB -3.68%), but it’s still early for the American open. We must remember that yesterday, too, started very positive…

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