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The Lone Trader’s Watch: The Great Pause, Retail Traps, and the Deceptive “Wave B” (January 8, 2026)
Hallo zusammen! Happy New Year to everyone. I haven’t written since December 5th. Several personal reasons kept me from reviewing the market in depth, but there is another, perhaps more significant reason for my silence: I haven’t seen any important changes in the market structure, at least for BTC and ETH, that motivated me to…
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Hallo zusammen! It’s Friday, December 5, 2025. Today, I want to step away from the intraday noise and share an opinion piece regarding the Bitcoin (BTC) weekly chart. I want to be crystal clear: What I am writing today is a theory based on Elliott Wave principles and Price Action. It does not mean it…
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Hallo zusammen! It’s funny how a bullish trap works. On Friday, during the half-day session and options expiry, BTC faced a critical crossroads at its long-term trendline. As I mentioned, this line had been broken days earlier, but a potential reversal signal—an inverted hammer on Sunday the 23rd, confirmed on Monday the 24th—gave some hope.…