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    • The Lone Trader’s Watch: “Black Friday” Fear, BTC’s Dilemma, and the Futures Expiry Show (November 28, 2025)

      The Lone Trader’s Watch: “Black Friday” Fear, BTC’s Dilemma, and the Futures Expiry Show (November 28, 2025)

      November 28, 2025
      Analysis, Crypto, Markets

      Hallo zusammen! It’s Friday, November 28, 2025. The market opens after Thanksgiving, and I have to admit, I feel a bit of fear. Today is “Black Friday.” In my country, for people of my generation, this term is almost always associated with devaluation and banking crises—the opposite of the shopping frenzy it means for the…

    • The Lone Trader’s Watch: A Thanksgiving Pause, BTC’s Crucial Test, and the “Holiday Rally” Lore (November 27, 2025)

      The Lone Trader’s Watch: A Thanksgiving Pause, BTC’s Crucial Test, and the “Holiday Rally” Lore (November 27, 2025)

      November 27, 2025
      Analysis, Crypto, Markets

      Hallo zusammen! It’s Thursday, November 27, 2025. I’m still shaping the style of these posts. I don’t think a daily update is necessary—I’ll only write when a significant event occurs or something truly captures my attention. I hadn’t written since last Friday (Nov 21) because, until yesterday, I didn’t see a major change. In that…

    • The Lone Trader’s Watch: A Reversal Signal? The Death Cross Paradox and the $80k Shock (November 21, 2025)

      The Lone Trader’s Watch: A Reversal Signal? The Death Cross Paradox and the $80k Shock (November 21, 2025)

      November 21, 2025
      Analysis, Crypto, Markets

      Hallo zusammen! It’s Friday, November 21, 2025. Today, I want to discuss a potential reversal signal. On November 16, a Death Cross occurred on the BTC daily chart (where the 50-day SMA crosses below the 200-day SMA). This signal is notoriously difficult to interpret correctly. Many traditional traders view it as a definitive bearish omen.…

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    TavoPlus

    TavoPlus

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